Donald Trumps popularity is plummeting in a county considered a key indicator of national trends. A recent survey from Democratic firm Upswing Research & Strategy found that only 42% of likely voters in Bucks County, Pennsylvania, view Trump favorably, compared to 53% who view him unfavorably, Politico reported. Related Lawmaker leaves GOP for Democratic party after he got villainized for supporting LGBTQ+ people Numbers are sinking compared to a year ago, when a survey from the same group found that 50 percent of likely Bucks County voters had an unfavorable view of Trump and 45 percent viewed him favorably. Its clear that there is some backlash against Trump and MAGA Republicans generally, Ethan Smith, founding partner at Upswing Research & Strategy, told the publication. The survey also shows that were probably entering a period of Democratic enthusiasm. We can tell just based on response rates that Democrats are really eager to participate in the election. Insights for the LGBTQ+ community Subscribe to our briefing for insights into how politics impacts the LGBTQ+ community and more. Subscribe to our Newsletter today Trump won Bucks County by less than one percent in the 2024 presidential election. Bucks County has also been a hotbed of anti-LGBTQ+ controversy over the past several years. In 2022, the ACLU filed a 72-page complaint accusing Bucks Countys Central Bucks School District of fostering an anti-LBGTQ+ environment. The previous year, Pennridge School District in Bucks County banned books on gender identity from elementary school libraries. In 2024, families filed a civil rights complaint accusing the district of creating a hostile environment for LGBTQ+ students and students of color. Nevertheless, Bucks Countys increasing lean away from Trump could spell good news for Democrats come midterms. Other analysts have found similar indicators in other areas of the country. CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten recently explained that when the same party wins in both New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial races, that party also wins the House six out of seven times. And right now, the Democratic candidates in both states are leading by significant margins.Enten said that these margins should be a flashing red siren warning sign for Republicans.Enten also spoke about other elections taking place around the country and said that signal after signal after signal shows that when people are voting, Democrats are doing well.Enten hasalso been vocalabout the dismal approval ratings of the president himself, saying in July that he was at a term-two low.Subscribe to theLGBTQ Nation newsletterand be the first to know about the latest headlines shaping LGBTQ+ communities worldwide.